INHS PaCE Lab at 2026 Joint Meeting of Ichthyologists and Herpetologists

The 2026 Joint Meeting of Ichthyologists and Herpetologists was held this past week in New Orleans. Several members of the PaCE Lab presented papers and posters during the meetings.

Rose Arnold presented: “Site-Level Variation in Detection and Demographic Health of Blanding’s Turtles (Emydoidea blandingii) in Illinois

Blanding’s Turtle (Emydoidea blandingii) populations in Illinois occupy small, highly fragmented sites due to the state losing more than 90% of its historic wetlands. Blanding’s Turtles are state endangered in Illinois and have low population densities, causing low capture rates in many areas. Additionally, fragmentation hinders surveys and detectability, making it difficult for managers to assess population demographics and identify the best conservation strategies. Robust detection probability estimates are essential because imperfect detection can bias vital demographic estimates. We estimated detection probability by pooling decades of capture data across five Illinois sites and found site was the strongest predictor among the 30 covariates we investigated (temporal, effort, and weather covariates). Next, we estimated the vital rates (survival, recruitment, and population size) of each site independently to compare demographic health across the five populations. By combining site-specific detection probabilities with vital rate estimates, we assessed and compared the overall status of each population. Our objective is to provide managers with a clearer picture of population status across the five sites to support targeted conservation efforts for Blanding’s Turtles in Illinois. View slides


Dr. Michael Dreslik presented: “Adult Survival Drives Population Decline in the Spotted Turtle: Demographic Evidence from Three Decades of Mark-Recapture Data”

Conservation resources are finite, yet management for long-lived vertebrates often targets incorrect vital rates. Turtles counter low fecundity with increased longevity, accumulating reproductive output across decades, but elevated adult mortality eliminates decades of potential reproduction. The spotted turtle (Clemmys guttata), a state-endangered wetland species at the western edge of its North American range in Illinois, exemplifies the challenge. Long-term mark-recapture surveys documented the last populations in the urban greater Chicago region annually since 1987, producing a long record of demographic data. We constructed integral projection models from data incorporating size-structured vital rates (growth, survival, and fecundity) using hierarchical Bayesian models. Population growth rates at both sites fell below replacement, indicating decline. Elasticity analysis revealed adult survival as the dominant demographic driver, contributing far more to population growth rate than fecundity or juvenile survival. Stochastic projections confirmed substantial extinction risk under current conditions, particularly at the smaller population, where adult survival is also lower. Taken together, the IPM results strongly support a management approach focused on reducing adult mortality. Nest protection and headstarting programs, widely used in turtle conservation, showed minimal elasticity and should be treated as supplemental rather than primary strategies. The IPM approach and elasticity-guided management apply broadly to other long-lived, low-fecundity vertebrates where adult survival dominates population dynamics.


Zander Perelman presented: “Night time is the right time: Caudal luring in free-ranging Pygmy Rattlesnakes (Sistrurus miliarius)”